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19 FEB, 2026 EDUCACIÓN 8 min read VALUE BETTING

¿Qué es el Value Betting? Por qué el 95% pierde aunque acierte

La verdad que las casas de apuestas no quieren que sepas: acertar más del 50% no es suficiente. Te explicamos qué es el edge, cómo calcular el Expected Value y por qué toda nuestra metodología se basa en este principio matemático.

FÓRMULA EV EXPLICADA

EJEMPLOS REALES AIBG

ERRORES COMUNES

BÁSICO → INTERMEDIO

16 FEB, 2026 WEEKLY RECAP 8 min read

Weekend Review + AIBG-126 Status Update

Complete analysis of weekend picks plus overall project performance: 10 picks, -2.00u loss, transparency report on what's working and what needs improvement. Key learnings: injury advantages context-dependent, model consensus warnings.

WEEKEND: -2.00u

OVERALL: +11.41u (5.79% ROI)

14 FEB, 2026 LA LIGA 7 min read 🇪🇸🇬🇧 ES/EN

La Liga Weekend Picks: Champions League Chase & Relegation Battle

Three value plays across Saturday and Sunday: Villarreal's CL push at Getafe (+15% edge), Real Madrid's defensive dominance vs Real Sociedad (+9.5% edge), and a high-scoring Mallorca vs Betis clash (+3.3% edge).

+15% TOP EDGE

VILLARREAL 9-0-4 H2H

BETIS 105 IMPORTANCE LOST

3 PICKS, 3U STAKE

13 FEB, 2026 BELGIAN PRO LEAGUE 4 min read

Value in Belgian Pro League: Mechelen vs Genk

5th-placed Mechelen host 8th-placed Genk in Matchday 25. Two value picks detected: Home Win @ 3.40 (+6.1% edge, home underdog pattern) and Over 2.5 @ 1.85 (+6.6% edge).

MECHELEN 5TH (36 PTS)

GENK UNBEATEN IN 5

+6.1% / +6.6% EDGE

MECHELEN WON LAST H2H 1-0

12 FEB, 2026 HISTORIC 5 min read

The Perfect Day: 6/6 Clean Sweep

February 12, 2026: A historic day when AIBG-126 hit all 6 published picks. +4.025 units in a single day. Edges ranging from 5.9% to 14.3%. Here's what we learned.

6/6 PICKS WON

+4.025u PROFIT

5.9%-14.3% EDGE

EPL, BRAZIL, ARGENTINA

09 FEB, 2026 CHAMPIONS LEAGUE 6 min read

Real Madrid vs Benfica: UCL Knockout Analysis

Real Madrid face Benfica in Champions League Round of 16 (Feb 17 & 25). Mbappé's 13 UCL goals vs Benfica's injury crisis. Our 6-model ensemble reveals 54% Madrid win probability.

MBAPPÉ 13 GOALS

BENFICA INJURY CRISIS

MADRID 54% WIN PROB

29 CONSECUTIVE KNOCKOUTS

09 FEB, 2026 PREMIER LEAGUE 7 min read

Premier League Title Race: Arsenal's 6-Point Lead

Arsenal lead with 56 points, Man City 50, Liverpool 6th with 39. Our models give Arsenal 76.4% title probability. 13 matches remaining—here's the edge.

ARSENAL 56 PTS (17W-5D-3L)

CITY 6 PTS BEHIND

LIVERPOOL 6TH

76.4% ARSENAL PROBABILITY

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